weatherman7
0xa86b1174d30c23ef4d37c745e93d36c57d3896b8
- Realised P&L
- $-178.97
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $11.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.29at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 24?
- +$17.68at 0.741Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 27?
- +$16.36at 0.137Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?
- +$13.73at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?
- +$11.07at 0.563Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2299999937 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2799999961 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2999999906 | $3.20 |
| 09-15 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4142741104 | $5.60 |
| 09-15 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-12 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.2650908879 | $2.70 |
| 09-12 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.2299999914 | $2.40 |
| 09-11 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.2599999846 | $2.70 |
| 09-10 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999914 | $2.40 |
| 09-10 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999914 | $2.40 |
| 09-09 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.70 |
| 09-08 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $2.50 |
| 09-06 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.10 |