0xA85F12a7C9537A3EE8C7907D6f630770e1D8d9EC-1773069069812
0xa85f12a7c9537a3ee8c7907d6f630770e1d8d9ec
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $140.7k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? · Yes | 0.894 | 0.955 | $1.6k | +$100.52 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.585 | $973.89 | −$491.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.622Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$868.31at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$765.84at 0.706Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$554.35at 0.648Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$503.25at 0.697Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 18:59 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.82 | $65.49 |
| 08-28 19:25 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8974717287 | $1.4k |
| 08-24 13:53 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $700.00 |
| 08-24 13:01 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 08-22 09:52 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $765.00 |
| 08-19 07:38 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 11:37 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | SELL | 0.99 | $374.12 |
| 08-18 11:36 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | SELL | 0.9950115549 | $1.1k |
| 08-17 12:15 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.7738013898 | $1.0k |
| 08-15 12:19 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9912359775 | $997.42 |
| 07-26 23:52 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 21:16 | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.9726823805 | $240.58 |
| 07-23 21:16 | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.9743892085 | $259.14 |
| 07-23 17:25 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8999999984 | $400.00 |
| 07-20 18:27 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.3k |