PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa859aaeE89c5e072BA2E22ff3990Bbd9280548b9-1773174963254

0xa859aaee89c5e072ba2e22ff3990bbd9280548b9

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$656.7k
Markets traded
556
Open portfolio
$216.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded556
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner · FlyQuest0.6371.000$70.97+$25.72
Spread: Navy (-6.5) · Navy0.5150.500$43.88−$1.32
Spread: Indiana (-20.5) · Indiana0.4900.495$42.55+$0.43
Spread: Ohio State (-26.5) · Ohio State0.5100.505$23.29−$0.23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26? · Yes0.4300.370$19.41−$3.15
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0270.004$14.06−$80.83
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · FlyQuest0.0100.001$2.06−$39.12
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff · Iva Jovic0.3390.000$0.00−$28.80
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$37.96
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$268.20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2990.000$0.00−$209.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$5.52
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00−$762.21
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres0.4800.000$0.00−$39.75
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$67.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 23:07Spread: Indiana (-20.5)BUY0.4899999981$21.06
09-25 23:07Spread: Indiana (-20.5)BUY0.4899999981$21.06
09-25 22:05LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.6799999964$22.50
09-25 22:02LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.5999999947$22.75
09-25 21:42LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.01$20.59
09-25 21:42LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.01$20.59
09-25 21:31Spread: Navy (-6.5)BUY0.5199999982$22.80
09-25 20:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?BUY0.4299999941$22.56
09-25 20:05Spread: Navy (-6.5)BUY0.5099999957$22.40
09-25 12:58Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.64$22.40
09-25 09:38Türkiye vs. France: O/U 3.5BUY0.5199999982$22.80
09-25 08:49Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.66$21.12
09-25 05:11Spread: Ohio State (-26.5)BUY0.5099999896$23.52
09-25 03:03Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5SELL0.9919302326$42.65
09-25 03:02Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 41.5SELL0.99$42.57