wheathershredder
0xa85928b9fda2a20a69888c4d563d42f9d8a1c8f3
- Realised P&L
- $-481.56
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $148.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.18at 0.729Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26?
- +$31.49at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?
- +$31.01at 0.760Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 26?
- +$28.93at 0.798Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 25?
- +$28.32at 0.801Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.22 |
| 10-13 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.74 |
| 10-13 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.7702499969 | $15.80 |
| 10-13 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9647513526 | $19.40 |
| 10-13 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.41 |
| 10-13 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 10-13 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-13 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-13 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 13? | SELL | 0.988 | $19.78 |
| 10-13 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.9689999986 | $19.40 |
| 10-13 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-13 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8799999961 | $18.00 |
| 10-13 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9575321316 | $19.40 |
| 10-13 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.9813892944 | $20.17 |
| 10-13 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.984 | $20.10 |