PolyBot

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Traders

wheathershredder

0xa85928b9fda2a20a69888c4d563d42f9d8a1c8f3

Realised P&L
$-481.56
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
293
Open portfolio
$148.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded293
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 13? · No0.8101.000$20.48+$3.88
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 13? · No0.9700.954$19.07−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14? · No0.9580.940$19.04−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13? · No0.8400.925$18.94+$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 14? · No0.9650.935$18.80−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? · No0.8800.910$18.61+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 13? · No0.8900.865$17.69−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14? · No0.8600.755$15.45−$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13? · No0.7100.003$0.06−$14.54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4? · No0.7290.000$0.00−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 10? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$16.40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? · No0.7180.000$0.00−$14.60
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$7.40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? · No0.7720.000$0.00−$15.60
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$7.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 13:25Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13?SELL0.99$20.22
10-13 13:20Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14?SELL0.67$13.74
10-13 13:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14?BUY0.7702499969$15.80
10-13 13:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 14?BUY0.9647513526$19.40
10-13 11:32Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 13?SELL0.999$20.41
10-13 10:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13?SELL0.98$19.60
10-13 10:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13?SELL0.66$3.30
10-13 09:53Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13?BUY0.97$19.40
10-13 09:53Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 13?SELL0.988$19.78
10-13 07:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 13?BUY0.9689999986$19.40
10-13 07:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?SELL0.68$13.60
10-13 07:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14?BUY0.8799999961$18.00
10-13 07:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14?BUY0.9575321316$19.40
10-13 06:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?SELL0.9813892944$20.17
10-13 06:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13?SELL0.984$20.10