MOU-MOU
0xa855bf8e1d72e4c11b4bbcb6d5421a4ea86d3a4e
- Realised P&L
- $-33.3k
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 12,213
- Open portfolio
- $128.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,213
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · Yes | 0.390 | 1.000 | $128.14 | +$78.14 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$59.90 |
| Exact Score: Georgia 0 - 1 Ukraine? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.6kat 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$3.8kat 0.209Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.204Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:34 | Spread: Georgia (-1.5) | SELL | 0.02 | $1.33 |
| 09-28 17:33 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 17:28 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3251872285 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 17:28 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.1458885907 | $33.16 |
| 09-28 17:07 | Exact Score: Georgia 0 - 1 Ukraine? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:02 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 17:02 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 16:57 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 16:56 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 16:50 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 16:50 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 16:48 | Spread: Georgia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 03:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6195142328 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5374516444 | $599.91 |