Yrty
0xa853a29f081bf12e62595d3685fc853dd9333c85
- Realised P&L
- $1.60
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $18.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.935 | 0.950 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31? · No | 0.900 | 1.000 | $3.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30? · No | 0.970 | 1.000 | $3.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Houston vs. Duke · Duke | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
- +$1.45at 0.580Florida vs. Auburn
- +$1.17at 0.460Will Cooper Flagg score 20+ points against Houston?
- +$0.25at 0.800Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
- +$0.19at 0.914FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:29 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:28 | Will 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $192.97 |
| 10-19 02:50 | Will 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $315.97 |
| 10-19 02:49 | Will 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $509.46 |
| 10-19 02:44 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999963 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 14:00 | Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:00 | Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 13:59 | Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 13:59 | Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 13:58 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025? | SELL | 0.958 | $2.08 |
| 04-01 04:18 | Florida vs. Auburn | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 04:18 | Houston vs. Duke | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 04:18 | Will Cooper Flagg score 20+ points against Houston? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 04:17 | Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 04:17 | FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R) | BUY | 0.9139999835 | $2.00 |