0xa8518db5794201248bc8f8ef9178ef8a1eb5b514
0xa8518db5794201248bc8f8ef9178ef8a1eb5b514
- Realised P&L
- $3.09
- Volume
- $329.39
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $4.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.925 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.655 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? · No | 0.300 | 0.285 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.555 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.210Will Russia target Kyiv on August 22, 2026?
- +$6.76at 0.230Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$6.74at 0.375US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.89at 0.258Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.54at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:50 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:43 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:16 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:41 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:59 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:10 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |