0xa8469FEBeb2185DA7b0c8CAd5F53dD3835909E69-1771830864009
0xa8469febeb2185da7b0c8cad5f53dd3835909e69
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $79.1k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $51.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · 100 Thieves | 0.725 | 0.625 | $51.25 | −$8.17 |
| Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner · MIBR | 0.924 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$901.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$293.87at 0.592England leading at halftime?
- +$276.60at 0.667Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$252.37at 0.554Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$246.50at 0.677Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?
- +$214.33at 0.641Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:39 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-11 16:27 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $49.50 |
| 10-09 09:18 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | SELL | 0.57 | $21.92 |
| 10-09 09:07 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $25.60 |
| 10-08 21:36 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 23:01 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.66 | $49.50 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0475 | $27.88 |
| 07-19 21:37 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3024999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.845 | $90.95 |
| 07-19 21:14 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.8819601808 | $874.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8924999999 | $694.91 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.635 | $203.20 |
| 07-19 01:56 | Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.94 | $771.91 |
| 07-19 01:53 | Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.84 | $117.60 |