PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

012345678909876543210

0xa83e556eeb8777f148ebbef13480b5b2d2c2093d

Realised P&L
$-175.76
Volume
$47.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$10.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0070.006$4.23$1.01
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2710.048$3.41$16.06
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0060.003$2.49$2.50
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.3400.001$0.01$4.99
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%? · Over0.5700.001$0.00$5.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$30.38
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$11.06
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:06Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.0108028674$1.37
09-12 14:05Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4249999958$5.00
09-12 14:03Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-12 14:02Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-12 14:00Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?BUY0.32$15.00
09-12 14:00Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0060122788$5.00
09-12 14:00Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0076371586$5.00
09-12 13:59Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.0100769512$5.00
07-11 20:52Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0569999665$1.58
07-11 20:52Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.024$0.96
07-11 20:51Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.003$0.75
07-09 10:50Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999883$4.64
07-09 10:50Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.003$1.09
07-09 10:49Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?SELL0.0647211414$2.00
07-09 10:49Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.024$1.88