012345678909876543210
0xa83e556eeb8777f148ebbef13480b5b2d2c2093d
- Realised P&L
- $-175.76
- Volume
- $47.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $10.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $4.23 | −$1.01 |
| Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.048 | $3.41 | −$16.06 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $2.49 | −$2.50 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%? · Over | 0.570 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.38 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.06 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.76at 0.647Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$2.20at 0.696Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$1.92at 0.700Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
- +$0.55at 0.820Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:06 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0108028674 | $1.37 |
| 09-12 14:05 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4249999958 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:03 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:02 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:00 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 14:00 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0060122788 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:00 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0076371586 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 13:59 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0100769512 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:52 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999665 | $1.58 |
| 07-11 20:52 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.96 |
| 07-11 20:51 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 07-09 10:50 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999883 | $4.64 |
| 07-09 10:50 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.09 |
| 07-09 10:49 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.0647211414 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 10:49 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.024 | $1.88 |