PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mr.Passenger

0xa83c7c2f5882856a0ecb2a7dc7297e497b04f175

Realised P&L
$-5.6k
Volume
$1.45M
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$824.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.002$806.61$3.0k
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$14.42$62.43
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$1.80$9.02
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.93$0.93
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.86$5.14
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$45.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$30.00
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend · Samir Hamza Reguig0.0630.000$0.00$103.37
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti · Marco Trungelliti0.0330.000$0.00$394.59
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$20.80
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$613.55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3830.000$0.00$520.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$771.61
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$149.92
W15 Dijon: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard vs Demi Tran · Demi Tran0.0390.000$0.00$471.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 20:48Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina PapamichailBUY0.08$60.00
09-10 20:45Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina PapamichailBUY0.1$31.88
09-10 19:48Phan Thiet 3: Filip Peliwo vs Arthur WeberBUY0.19$800.00
09-10 13:48Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.007$6.00
09-10 13:36Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.06$35.83
09-10 13:36Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.1739969989$77.69
09-10 13:15Cassis: Raphael Perot vs Robin BertrandBUY0.08$16.00
09-10 13:07Cassis: Raphael Perot vs Robin BertrandBUY0.25$200.00
09-10 10:54Cassis: Raphael Perot vs Robin BertrandBUY0.32$676.61
09-10 10:06W35 Reus: Matilde Paoletti vs Diletta CherubiniBUY0.08$50.00
09-10 10:04W35 Reus: Matilde Paoletti vs Diletta CherubiniBUY0.1109262341$50.00
09-10 09:58W35 Reus: Matilde Paoletti vs Diletta CherubiniBUY0.15$105.00
09-10 09:12Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan FriendBUY0.06$25.80
09-10 08:49Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan FriendSELL0.1$40.90
09-09 22:23US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxBUY0.03$75.00