0xa839f12b53a3ec6be26208136304c9a2ae9db95b
0xa839f12b53a3ec6be26208136304c9a2ae9db95b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.89
- Volume
- $786.48
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.994 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.552LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
- +$4.21at 0.624Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winner
- +$1.98at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$1.86at 0.617LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.81at 0.366Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 08:48 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 08:18 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 08:18 | XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:47 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0124185036 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:18 | BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:17 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7777445076 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 07:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 06:47 | XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 06:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 06:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |