0xa8399a065db09bbbd2a64b173adb5b90b1a88b66
- Realised P&L
- $87.07
- Volume
- $59.8k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $598.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.185 | $597.93 | −$557.10 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.182 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.92at 0.305Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$345.08at 0.474Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$311.88at 0.494Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$296.52at 0.343Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$292.08at 0.310Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 14:59 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 03:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.1179974024 | $127.19 |
| 08-30 22:04 | US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane | BUY | 0.6809999278 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 22:04 | US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 01:15 | Patriots vs. Browns | SELL | 0.09 | $3.02 |
| 08-28 01:12 | Patriots vs. Browns | SELL | 0.1437551633 | $19.14 |
| 08-28 01:11 | Patriots vs. Browns | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 03:28 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 00:31 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.309999814 | $1.10 |
| 08-23 00:22 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 08-23 00:22 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 08-23 00:20 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.32 | $13.02 |
| 08-22 23:23 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.4 | $4.30 |
| 08-22 23:09 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 23:09 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |