Bitcoin150K
0xa832e7afb91c8083d42474faaf05f9abfaf8abf8
- Realised P&L
- $-9.5k
- Volume
- $650.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,019
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.849US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
- +$1.2kat 0.899France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
- +$642.46at 0.815Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$524.97at 0.675Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$319.60at 0.688Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:37 | Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $245.22 |
| 11-01 05:34 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $23.16 |
| 11-01 03:53 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $87.27 |
| 11-01 03:52 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $24.50 |
| 11-01 03:52 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | 0.8450181702 | $530.16 |
| 11-01 03:51 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.70 |
| 11-01 03:28 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | BUY | 0.958 | $94.84 |
| 11-01 03:24 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | BUY | 0.953 | $476.50 |
| 11-01 00:01 | Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.61 |
| 10-31 23:57 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $572.00 |
| 10-31 23:43 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $60.73 |
| 10-31 23:43 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.59 |
| 10-31 23:38 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8568103021 | $69.20 |
| 10-31 23:10 | Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 23:10 | Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $88.20 |