0xa832e7afb91c8083d42474faaf05f9abfaf8abf8
- Realised P&L
- $-10.3k
- Volume
- $461.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,918
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,918
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$642.46at 0.815Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$319.59at 0.688Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$313.62at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$311.83at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$270.17at 0.772Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:29 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-09 10:24 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.97 |
| 08-09 10:23 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 08-09 10:22 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.868 | $111.10 |
| 08-09 10:14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-09 09:52 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-08 20:26 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8894115522 | $837.19 |
| 08-08 20:24 | Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31? | BUY | 0.9196327514 | $76.38 |
| 08-08 17:01 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.61 |
| 08-08 16:56 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.36 |
| 08-08 11:51 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-07 10:29 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.974 | $228.89 |
| 08-07 06:09 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $30.18 |
| 08-05 14:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $332.15 |
| 08-04 23:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.86 |