PolyBot

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Traders

0xa832e7afb91c8083d42474faaf05f9abfaf8abf8

Realised P&L
$-10.3k
Volume
$461.5k
Markets traded
1,918
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,918
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? · No0.8840.944$899.68+$56.27
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? · No0.9430.972$873.83+$25.86
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? · No0.8890.900$847.16+$9.97
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? · No0.8700.935$466.05+$32.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.9080.925$185.00+$3.39
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? · No0.7860.915$146.40+$20.68
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? · No0.8080.860$131.77+$7.97
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.7370.971$131.09+$31.64
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · No0.8040.875$105.88+$8.61
Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31? · No0.9200.940$78.07+$1.69
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? · No0.8800.910$31.85+$1.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.350$22.75$0.65
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.8700.989$18.25+$2.19
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8600.760$3.80$0.50
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5410.000$0.00$29.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 10:29Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?SELL0.88$8.80
08-09 10:24Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?BUY0.991$2.97
08-09 10:23Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
08-09 10:22Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?BUY0.868$111.10
08-09 10:14Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?BUY0.64$6.40
08-09 09:52Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.87$4.35
08-08 20:26Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026?BUY0.8894115522$837.19
08-08 20:24Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?BUY0.9196327514$76.38
08-08 17:01Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.86$17.61
08-08 16:56Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?BUY0.95$10.36
08-08 11:51Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.86$4.30
08-07 10:29Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.974$228.89
08-07 06:09Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.92$30.18
08-05 14:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.91$332.15
08-04 23:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.87$9.86