PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bitcoin150K

0xa832e7afb91c8083d42474faaf05f9abfaf8abf8

Realised P&L
$-9.5k
Volume
$650.0k
Markets traded
2,019
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,019
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8040.870$4.0k+$300.18
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? · No0.8490.775$1.2k−$119.32
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? · No0.8480.870$737.42+$18.89
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? · No0.7400.600$651.19−$151.94
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? · No0.9510.975$632.45+$14.96
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? · No0.5500.420$133.10−$41.20
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31? · No0.6200.650$130.00+$6.00
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30? · No0.7000.745$53.96+$3.26
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5410.000$0.00−$29.75
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the award for Best Tennis Player at the 2026 ESPY Awards? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$74.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$12.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$40.95
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$6.60
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.6910.000$0.00−$240.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:37Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?SELL0.61$245.22
11-01 05:34Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15?BUY0.86$23.16
11-01 03:53Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.62$87.27
11-01 03:52Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15?BUY0.85$24.50
11-01 03:52Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15?BUY0.8450181702$530.16
11-01 03:51Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30?BUY0.7$50.70
11-01 03:28Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.958$94.84
11-01 03:24Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.953$476.50
11-01 00:01Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?BUY0.85$9.61
10-31 23:57No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$572.00
10-31 23:43No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.87$60.73
10-31 23:43No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.87$43.59
10-31 23:38No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.8568103021$69.20
10-31 23:10Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?BUY0.85$1.3k
10-31 23:10Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?BUY0.84$88.20