wqeqwe77
0xa82e15769331c24919dafe0c43d6f2868ccf394d
- Realised P&L
- $-10.32
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks? · No | 0.970 | 1.000 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.255 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.570Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?
- +$1.12at 0.690Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
- +$0.87at 0.890Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?
- +$0.60at 0.870Will Bitboy be the biggest winner of The House Poker Night?
- +$0.53at 0.690SNHL: Ajoie vs. Bern
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 09:51 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $311.86 |
| 05-04 09:51 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $99.89 |
| 05-01 12:04 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.993 | $310.00 |
| 05-01 12:03 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $307.52 |
| 05-01 12:03 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.993 | $310.00 |
| 05-01 12:03 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 05:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $179.55 |
| 04-08 05:29 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $166.82 |
| 04-08 05:29 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.997 | $59.94 |
| 04-07 07:46 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $60.00 |
| 04-07 07:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9954469738 | $180.00 |
| 04-07 07:44 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $167.00 |
| 02-15 06:42 | Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.997 | $269.73 |
| 02-12 12:18 | Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.998 | $270.00 |
| 02-05 07:01 | Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |