PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wqeqwe77

0xa82e15769331c24919dafe0c43d6f2868ccf394d

Realised P&L
$-10.32
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks? · No0.9701.000$1.03+$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? · Yes0.8500.255$0.30$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 09:51Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.992$311.86
05-04 09:51Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.991$99.89
05-01 12:04Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.993$310.00
05-01 12:03Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.992$307.52
05-01 12:03Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.993$310.00
05-01 12:03Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.992$100.00
04-08 05:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.993$179.55
04-08 05:29Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$166.82
04-08 05:29Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.997$59.94
04-07 07:46Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.998$60.00
04-07 07:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9954469738$180.00
04-07 07:44Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.993$167.00
02-15 06:42Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.997$269.73
02-12 12:18Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.998$270.00
02-05 07:01Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?BUY0.97$1.00