0x5BCc32587339F0Abb48c72af48267d60DDD42248-1773532267094
0xa82dde89f85f3345fbcf36008c55c2f83ec77f75
- Realised P&L
- $238.69
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $251.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.469 | $90.44 | −$9.55 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.460 | $50.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.440 | $49.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.380 | $36.58 | −$13.42 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in October? · No | 0.340 | 0.170 | $25.00 | −$25.00 |
| LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · T1 | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.08 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs · NIP | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$366.19at 0.185Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
- +$49.82at 0.671UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$35.86at 0.629Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 17:25 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 17:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.5194805195 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 17:16 | Will Solana dip to $100 in October? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 17:04 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4409999993 | $50.00 |
| 08-10 09:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5190997809 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 14:02 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6093906071 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 13:52 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 50 million and 54 million? | BUY | 0.2350297684 | $80.00 |
| 07-18 13:51 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million? | BUY | 0.1779859467 | $80.00 |
| 07-18 13:44 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999996 | $60.00 |
| 07-18 13:31 | LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.3820111323 | $26.08 |
| 07-18 13:25 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 13:19 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |