0xhakuna.mafkit
0xa8280a42c29d29c1d4e41249789dddaf6e9c1863
- Realised P&L
- $-6.46
- Volume
- $415.02
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $218.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.755 | $173.65 | −$5.75 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.545 | $16.35 | −$0.45 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $10.50 | −$0.50 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.953 | $9.53 | +$1.23 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.820 | $4.12 | −$0.25 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.350 | 0.345 | $3.45 | −$0.05 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $1.35 | −$0.75 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:47 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 09-15 11:15 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 09-15 11:14 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.37 |
| 09-15 11:12 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-15 11:02 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 10:59 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 09-15 10:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-15 10:56 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $101.40 |