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Traders

TheSauron

0xa82651e7d1912695e762b48161f5d14ce437f980

Realised P&L
$-711.03
Volume
$45.8k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$3.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 19:41Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.004$0.47
09-23 19:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.001$1.02
09-23 19:31Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.001$3.00
09-22 19:08Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?SELL0.999$899.10
09-22 12:01Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?BUY0.05$1.00
09-21 19:47Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?SELL0.999$891.30
09-21 11:47Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21?SELL0.999$802.25
09-21 07:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.998$698.59
09-20 19:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21?BUY0.82$2.53
09-20 09:22Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 20?SELL0.999$23.43
09-20 09:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.041$1.52
09-20 09:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.037$5.92
09-19 15:37Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19?SELL0.999$499.50
09-19 12:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 19?SELL0.999$699.28
09-18 15:37Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 18?SELL0.999$7.51