TheSauron
0xa82651e7d1912695e762b48161f5d14ce437f980
- Realised P&L
- $-711.03
- Volume
- $45.8k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $3.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.06at 0.840Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?
- +$141.81at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?
- +$133.00at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on September 14?
- +$131.37at 0.780Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 13?
- +$127.69at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.47 |
| 09-23 19:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.02 |
| 09-23 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $899.10 |
| 09-22 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $891.30 |
| 09-21 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $802.25 |
| 09-21 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.998 | $698.59 |
| 09-20 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.53 |
| 09-20 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.43 |
| 09-20 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.92 |
| 09-19 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-19 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $699.28 |
| 09-18 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.51 |