PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mihaXd

0xa82365c8e854728c472812fba6202ca125386215

Realised P&L
$35.6k
Volume
$2.71M
Markets traded
5,464
Open portfolio
$216.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,464
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.4670.325$140.81−$61.63
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5500.150$68.73−$183.27
APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9300.978$6.94+$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$2.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Down0.6920.000$0.00−$11.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.4680.000$0.00−$25.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Up0.6140.000$0.00−$7.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2AM ET · Up0.3910.000$0.00−$20.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up0.5030.000$0.00−$10.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Up0.1270.000$0.00−$2.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$7.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.6599999898$2.60
09-28 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.6199999587$1.20
09-28 09:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.6699999175$2.60
09-28 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.48$32.16
09-28 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.465$4.65
09-28 07:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.559999832$1.20
09-28 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.64$1.20
09-28 07:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.6199999587$1.80
09-28 07:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.5799999893$5.40
09-28 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.59$7.55
09-28 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.61$3.32
09-28 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.61$7.80
09-28 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.61$3.51
09-28 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.61$3.90
09-28 06:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.09$1.60