PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA81F2D16E576380a63Ac0F3498cAF9E1bE092F05-1772728443482

0xa81f2d16e576380a63ac0f3498caf9e1be092f05

Realised P&L
$-41.81
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.115$0.96$0.04
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.0900.045$0.50$0.50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.7260.000$0.00$307.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 06:20Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-15 06:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
08-09 16:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.06$7.20
07-08 01:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.04$15.24
06-29 10:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.3799999982$84.00
06-29 09:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?SELL0.92$82.79
06-26 05:09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.25$57.50
06-24 07:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.76$76.00
06-23 13:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.962$53.38
06-23 03:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.94$47.00
06-20 13:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.91$5.00
06-19 05:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.53$53.00
06-16 11:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.988$59.27
06-15 16:55Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.6413503448$18.60
06-15 15:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.63$80.00