Saimiri
0xa81e0ca6084010e529c3ef456124944ec682ae00
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $131.9k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? · No | 0.970 | 0.983 | $1.6k | +$20.48 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No | 0.978 | 0.988 | $1.1k | +$10.18 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.895 | $679.48 | +$26.57 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.909 | 0.962 | $617.60 | +$33.80 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $603.19 | +$3.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? · No | 0.965 | 0.974 | $596.92 | +$4.92 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · No | 0.956 | 0.987 | $412.76 | +$12.76 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.945 | $304.89 | +$4.89 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.935 | $295.26 | −$4.74 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in October? · No | 0.980 | 0.928 | $284.29 | −$15.71 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.905 | $194.62 | −$5.38 |
| Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.928 | 0.903 | $18.07 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.84at 0.756Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
- +$169.15at 0.787Will Biden finish his term?
- +$165.27at 0.916Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$101.39at 0.930Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
- +$95.00at 0.810Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 23:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9654783921 | $592.00 |
| 10-06 23:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | BUY | 0.9799999993 | $1.0k |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9789999998 | $103.00 |
| 10-01 20:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9909915155 | $584.00 |
| 10-01 19:53 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.9298450258 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 19:49 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 19:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $600.00 |
| 10-01 18:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 10-01 18:45 | Will Solana dip to $80 in October? | BUY | 0.9797940473 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 18:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9949999996 | $1000.00 |
| 10-01 18:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | BUY | 0.9539999994 | $600.00 |
| 10-01 18:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9559999999 | $400.00 |
| 10-01 18:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9784188185 | $1.0k |
| 09-23 08:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $301.00 |
| 09-03 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.982 | $230.00 |