ytzytz2025
0xa817a6fc8762f1d11f6b15a69be982d0870e6714
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? · No | 0.783 | 0.945 | $1.2k | +$198.73 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.670 | 0.935 | $139.55 | +$39.55 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.061 | $50.86 | −$61.50 |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.00 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$267.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$352.00 |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$238.62at 0.649Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$201.17at 0.554Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$200.00at 0.750Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$193.06at 0.677Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 06:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.8292359209 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 05:38 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999969 | $30.00 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.159 | $31.80 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $37.60 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $40.20 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.326 | $65.20 |
| 07-08 21:23 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.159 | $127.20 |
| 07-08 21:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $150.40 |
| 07-08 21:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $160.80 |
| 07-08 21:22 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.326 | $260.80 |
| 07-07 07:09 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.86 | $815.55 |
| 07-04 06:51 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.93 | $761.77 |
| 07-03 20:56 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.93 | $709.87 |
| 06-29 17:51 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5799999942 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 18:58 | South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $30.00 |