ytzytz2025
0xa817a6fc8762f1d11f6b15a69be982d0870e6714
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? · No | 0.783 | 0.951 | $1.2k | +$205.48 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.670 | 0.955 | $142.54 | +$42.54 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.019 | $15.71 | −$96.65 |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.00 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$267.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$352.00 |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$412.72at 0.795Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$238.62at 0.649Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$201.17at 0.554Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$200.00at 0.750Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 09:26 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.775 | $99.98 |
| 10-24 15:34 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8136338608 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 09:04 | Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 05:19 | Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 06:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.8292359209 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 05:38 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999969 | $30.00 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.159 | $31.80 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $37.60 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $40.20 |
| 07-08 21:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.326 | $65.20 |
| 07-08 21:23 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.159 | $127.20 |
| 07-08 21:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $150.40 |
| 07-08 21:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $160.80 |
| 07-08 21:22 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.326 | $260.80 |
| 07-07 07:09 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.86 | $815.55 |