Bazovi4ek
0xa810312c622a9de7406c3075ea2eb52b0c2b4096
- Realised P&L
- $-28.02
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $114.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.075 | $100.07 | −$401.79 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.110 | $13.71 | −$53.48 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.984 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$311.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.84at 0.281Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$131.85at 0.743European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$112.90at 0.818Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
- +$39.33at 0.671Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
- +$35.61at 0.976Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:22 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999712 | $1.07 |
| 09-27 15:21 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.007059 | $0.71 |
| 09-15 12:50 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 09:33 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999981 | $47.00 |
| 09-09 09:32 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $33.38 |
| 09-09 07:43 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.083815 | $8.38 |
| 09-02 09:03 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7099999901 | $55.00 |
| 08-28 10:22 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.8252988878 | $544.68 |
| 08-27 18:32 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9849994139 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 18:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 01-13 11:17 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 12-31 11:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $754.11 |
| 12-13 14:59 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 12-13 07:39 | Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $79.09 |
| 12-13 07:38 | Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31? | SELL | 0.5721704529 | $79.09 |