0xA80e08734c3aF6eDE19cE214e341DFc08716F1B8-1769813608668
0xa80e08734c3af6ede19ce214e341dfc08716f1b8
- Realised P&L
- $25.02
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $15.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.50at 0.450Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
- +$13.46at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$12.91at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$6.43at 0.609Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$6.42at 0.237Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.1970637501 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0984155103 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5969852009 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 17:38 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.2599999899 | $14.31 |
| 03-25 18:10 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 15:45 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $25.00 |
| 03-22 15:44 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31? | BUY | 0.5748020898 | $66.35 |
| 03-05 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.3278145603 | $15.00 |
| 03-05 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $9.70 |
| 03-05 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $9.71 |
| 03-05 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $9.70 |
| 02-16 18:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.99 |
| 02-16 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $1.94 |
| 02-16 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $1.94 |