0xa80b13013b114e884814aeca17c2b775fb2ee39a
0xa80b13013b114e884814aeca17c2b775fb2ee39a
- Realised P&L
- $26.04
- Volume
- $543.99
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $14.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$5.97at 0.256Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:23 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:00 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:06 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:10 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4359999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:46 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:37 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:19 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:17 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:11 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |