PolyBot

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Traders

0xa80aa315813d8de0975b493c3a2577712cacf28c

0xa80aa315813d8de0975b493c3a2577712cacf28c

Realised P&L
$3.30
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$4.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.2800.255$4.35−$0.43
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.83
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$4.78
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$4.85
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$4.82
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on September 10? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$4.79
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$4.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$4.81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Philadelphia Phillies0.5000.000$0.00−$4.83
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$4.77
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$4.76
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$4.82
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$4.84
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:20Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.279999993$4.78
09-10 10:57Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on September 10?BUY0.2$4.79
09-09 18:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 10?BUY0.3402950613$4.80
09-09 12:15Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 10?BUY0.5799999712$4.84
09-09 11:49Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 10?BUY0.0832792721$4.74
09-09 11:47Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9?SELL0.0503177966$4.75
09-08 23:37Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9?BUY0.05$4.72
09-08 05:37Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 8?BUY0.0464666969$4.73
09-07 12:42Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.4599999866$4.82
09-07 12:40Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?BUY0.4599999866$4.82
09-07 12:34Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-07?BUY0.3499999598$4.79
09-07 12:02Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.179999975$4.75
09-07 10:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?SELL0.47$13.13
09-05 16:01Will Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999717$4.77
09-05 15:59Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.2099999713$4.76