0xa80aa315813d8de0975b493c3a2577712cacf28c
0xa80aa315813d8de0975b493c3a2577712cacf28c
- Realised P&L
- $3.30
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $4.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.43at 0.197Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
- +$19.16at 0.207Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$14.15at 0.258Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$13.35at 0.272Will Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
- +$11.70at 0.299Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:20 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.279999993 | $4.78 |
| 09-10 10:57 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on September 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.79 |
| 09-09 18:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3402950613 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 12:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5799999712 | $4.84 |
| 09-09 11:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.0832792721 | $4.74 |
| 09-09 11:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.0503177966 | $4.75 |
| 09-08 23:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.72 |
| 09-08 05:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0464666969 | $4.73 |
| 09-07 12:42 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.4599999866 | $4.82 |
| 09-07 12:40 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.4599999866 | $4.82 |
| 09-07 12:34 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.3499999598 | $4.79 |
| 09-07 12:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999975 | $4.75 |
| 09-07 10:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $13.13 |
| 09-05 16:01 | Will Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999717 | $4.77 |
| 09-05 15:59 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.2099999713 | $4.76 |