get888
0xa807aaf1947cc0c40c81125e80ddcabe380a06f7
- Realised P&L
- $-66.92
- Volume
- $103.6k
- Markets traded
- 309
- Open portfolio
- $120.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded309
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $89.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.984 | 0.983 | $19.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $11.08 | +$0.08 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Pistons | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns · Suns | 0.607 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kings vs. Suns · Kings | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.89 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls · 76ers | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.20at 0.830Mavericks vs. Nuggets
- +$33.48at 0.919Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$30.45at 0.920Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
- +$25.20at 0.895Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$25.00at 0.750Warriors vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 09-30 13:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999582 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 13:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999948 | $161.00 |
| 07-11 02:59 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7474999986 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 02:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 02:59 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6449999973 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 02:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5124999907 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 02:12 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 02:12 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5975 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 14:14 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7749999984 | $25.00 |
| 07-09 14:14 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6149999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 01:35 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 13:21 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |