jacobwright
0xa7f9e65b5a28fbf22bd65e8a847727b5ec614be9
- Realised P&L
- $43.86
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $44.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No | 0.790 | 0.775 | $26.42 | −$0.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11? · No | 0.560 | 0.420 | $18.19 | −$6.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.33at 0.350Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?
- +$16.05at 0.600Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
- +$15.86at 0.630Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
- +$11.80at 0.600Patriots vs. Jaguars
- +$0.73at 0.551Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:27 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.07 |
| 01-31 14:27 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 01-30 17:17 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.80 |
| 01-30 12:56 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.99744935 | $25.36 |
| 01-30 12:18 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.20 |
| 01-30 12:15 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.75 |
| 12-30 09:22 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999956 | $13.21 |
| 12-30 00:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.06 |
| 12-30 00:17 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999161 | $10.02 |
| 12-29 22:14 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.20 |
| 12-29 19:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.30 |
| 10-31 15:13 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.95 |
| 10-31 14:54 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.52 |
| 10-30 18:35 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.79 |
| 09-29 17:56 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.99 |