AVBFG504
0xa7f81c6d9fb3c88c0d0259aca14b5cb28a8d0dc3
- Realised P&L
- $-192.17
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $30.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No | 0.980 | 0.987 | $30.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.20 |
| Stars vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.69at 0.909Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.20at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.71at 0.948Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.47at 0.953Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.20at 0.900Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:44 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.98 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 14:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9897156279 | $35.50 |
| 10-03 01:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9829999815 | $35.10 |
| 09-29 03:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9499999746 | $33.60 |
| 09-28 01:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $33.40 |
| 09-27 14:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9949999753 | $33.20 |
| 09-25 08:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $32.80 |
| 09-25 08:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.993 | $32.88 |
| 09-21 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9209999995 | $30.50 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.98 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 12:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $36.20 |
| 08-19 03:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.9947165057 | $36.00 |
| 08-18 01:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.60 |
| 08-17 03:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $35.20 |
| 08-16 04:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.9899058311 | $34.90 |