NatureWallpaper
0xa7f16831c782f1e46adf097cd694ba842f52e04a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $259.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.029 | $2.5k | −$500.20 |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) · Jordan | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.60 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) · New Zealand | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Algeria | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.146Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$653.60at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$454.20at 0.095Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$295.50at 0.507France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
- +$180.88at 0.736Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 10:14 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0358441842 | $68.10 |
| 10-27 10:12 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.035 | $595.00 |
| 10-27 10:10 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.035 | $525.00 |
| 10-27 10:09 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0340393548 | $1.7k |
| 10-27 06:50 | Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.029 | $69.04 |
| 07-02 00:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3539999997 | $368.55 |
| 07-01 09:44 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.24 | $285.60 |
| 07-01 09:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.327 | $295.28 |
| 06-22 03:49 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999734 | $5.07 |
| 06-22 02:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999998 | $942.53 |
| 06-22 00:45 | Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-17 07:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999999 | $881.82 |
| 06-17 06:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999987 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 06:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.185 | $740.00 |
| 06-17 06:18 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999999 | $2.0k |