PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sunshines

0xa7eede142fda15cb6258f238c449796873e5421b

Realised P&L
$3.8k
Volume
$107.9k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.6541.000$401.59+$139.00
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? · No0.8901.000$370.00+$40.70
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA? · Yes0.8491.000$359.04+$54.26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? · Yes0.5381.000$334.88+$154.69
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? · No0.7571.000$309.99+$75.30
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · No0.8971.000$300.00+$31.00
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season? · No0.9811.000$222.22+$4.20
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season? · No0.7501.000$204.31+$51.03
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.3211.000$201.00+$136.52
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? · No0.9781.000$201.00+$4.42
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? · No0.9701.000$200.00+$6.00
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division? · No0.9501.000$200.00+$10.00
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? · No0.9891.000$200.00+$2.21
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · No0.9561.000$200.00+$8.80
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? · No0.6301.000$200.00+$74.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-26 06:15Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY0.3806165154$416.86
02-26 06:14Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY0.3809120608$229.70
12-27 01:16Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.008$0.24
12-27 01:16Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?BUY0.2273881481$30.70
12-27 01:16Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?BUY0.114122449$2.80
12-27 01:16OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?BUY0.1264155556$22.75
12-27 01:16Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.0296$0.74
12-27 01:16Will Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.064$2.56
12-27 01:16Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.077$7.70
12-09 03:44Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?BUY0.994$25.23
11-26 18:59Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?BUY0.989$98.90
11-24 14:39Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November?BUY0.41$41.00
11-24 10:52Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?BUY0.72$7.20
11-24 05:13Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.22$1.97
11-24 05:07Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.78$156.00