sunshines
0xa7eede142fda15cb6258f238c449796873e5421b
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $107.9k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $10.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.4kat 0.381Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$131.93at 0.340Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$129.89at 0.037Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?
- +$126.70at 0.642Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$114.01at 0.551Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 06:15 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.3806165154 | $416.86 |
| 02-26 06:14 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.3809120608 | $229.70 |
| 12-27 01:16 | Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.24 |
| 12-27 01:16 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | BUY | 0.2273881481 | $30.70 |
| 12-27 01:16 | Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.114122449 | $2.80 |
| 12-27 01:16 | OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? | BUY | 0.1264155556 | $22.75 |
| 12-27 01:16 | Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.0296 | $0.74 |
| 12-27 01:16 | Will Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.56 |
| 12-27 01:16 | Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.077 | $7.70 |
| 12-09 03:44 | Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025? | BUY | 0.994 | $25.23 |
| 11-26 18:59 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 11-24 14:39 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 11-24 10:52 | Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 11-24 05:13 | Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.97 |
| 11-24 05:07 | Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.00 |