PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xA7E96EAcf8BC94118519bF8Ad38E98aC61D94f6c-1764835690707

0xa7e96eacf8bc94118519bf8ad38e98ac61d94f6c

Realised P&L
$-11.2k
Volume
$346.9k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4300.075$1.3k$6.0k
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4840.506$526.64+$23.30
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2400.145$363.37$238.07
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.055$215.65$333.28
Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0360.029$1.14$0.26
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$50.00
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$10.00
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 15:18Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.24$247.20
07-23 18:21Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.484$97.19
07-19 18:48Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3249999974$50.00
07-19 18:45Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
07-19 18:44Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
07-19 18:44Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.16$50.00
07-19 18:41Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3224999993$200.00
07-18 19:21France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-18 19:19France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.33$220.76
07-18 19:17Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.2141131973$229.55
06-26 07:38Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.0363276658$1.40
05-15 05:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.18$2.34
03-21 16:01Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$176.51
03-10 16:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3390017891$3.05
03-09 13:35Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.48$67.20