johnnyappleseed
0xa7e63d9fb0df3d3076853b9953c8acf6e2bd68a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $316.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.023 | $316.66 | +$165.31 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$574.96 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.00 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$672.63 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.90at 0.430Notre Dame vs. Miami
- +$9.29at 0.350LSU vs. Clemson
- +$0.00at 0.130Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.120Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.100Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 05:30 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $14.00 |
| 09-10 05:30 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0129353234 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 06:15 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0129999984 | $8.00 |
| 09-01 06:15 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0129999978 | $6.00 |
| 08-31 19:04 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 19:04 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0114143345 | $23.54 |
| 08-31 18:50 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0092513441 | $59.83 |
| 09-10 23:15 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0253370524 | $100.17 |
| 09-09 05:32 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.028377592 | $75.00 |
| 09-09 05:30 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $40.00 |
| 09-08 22:06 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.032 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 22:05 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.1534108694 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 22:04 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0333129452 | $43.00 |
| 09-08 22:04 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $45.00 |
| 09-08 22:04 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $35.00 |