E.Mike
0xa7e5a18c7bb1f10ec0fac8aa1524114e5046dc0d
- Realised P&L
- $-30.36
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $5.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.495 | $4.60 | +$0.98 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.100 | $0.63 | −$0.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.12 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.96at 0.080Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
- +$9.28at 0.462Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$8.17at 0.175Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$7.07at 0.622Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$6.54at 0.592Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 03:10 | Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.13 |
| 10-02 21:32 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.63 |
| 10-01 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.69 |
| 10-01 03:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999045 | $1.10 |
| 09-28 05:19 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.9474962519 | $6.32 |
| 09-25 15:31 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.14 |
| 09-25 14:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $0.99 |
| 09-24 12:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-22 14:54 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.362 | $2.97 |
| 09-22 04:57 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.157 | $2.48 |
| 09-19 16:24 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $7.11 |
| 09-18 11:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 11:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 00:34 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.55 |