E.Mike
0xa7e5a18c7bb1f10ec0fac8aa1524114e5046dc0d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.88
- Volume
- $644.81
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.480 | $1.65 | +$0.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.12 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.56at 0.320Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.084Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.332Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$1.04at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$0.54at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:55 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998542 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 20:17 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.96 |
| 08-03 19:35 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2489998695 | $1.04 |
| 07-09 07:13 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.81 |
| 07-08 16:38 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.98 |
| 07-07 05:53 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 15:14 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.94 |
| 07-04 14:55 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 22:29 | Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 07-03 22:20 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.80 |
| 07-03 15:28 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 15:47 | Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.30 |
| 07-02 02:15 | Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 14:05 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.63 |