0xa7de7d6750d362a2c3550f7701281dd4de918ec1
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.75M in November? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.12at 0.998Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?
- +$-3.28at 0.595Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
- +$-3.55at 0.472Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$-4.11at 0.141Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- +$-6.37at 0.573Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:56 | Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.75M in November? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November? | SELL | 0.1065469613 | $1.54 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November? | BUY | 0.9661971394 | $14.00 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Apple say "OpenAI / ChatGPT" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.61 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Apple say "OpenAI / ChatGPT" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $23.14 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 22:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 11-01 22:47 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.4314838997 | $29.08 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4599999955 | $31.00 |
| 11-01 22:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $33.39 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999974 | $34.00 |