gugu77
0xa7d4f95294da36746e6eb8ebefb7ed0b221e26a1
- Realised P&L
- $39.90
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $17.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.16at 0.740Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
- +$14.40at 0.020Will Dow say "Capacity" during earnings call?
- +$9.68at 0.560Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
- +$9.45at 0.550Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$8.60at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 04:34 | Will American Express say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-24 04:34 | Will American Express say "Expense" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-24 04:34 | Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.901 | $18.02 |
| 07-23 14:11 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.80 |
| 07-23 02:52 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.82 |
| 07-21 10:45 | Iran full airspace closure by July 21? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 07-21 10:44 | Will Jess Phillips be in the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 07-21 10:37 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | SELL | 0.0135104 | $0.68 |
| 07-21 10:37 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.0358638 | $1.79 |
| 07-21 10:36 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-21 10:36 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? | SELL | 0.0507556675 | $1.01 |
| 07-21 10:36 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Georgia? | SELL | 0.933985 | $18.68 |
| 07-21 10:36 | Over $1M committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.941 | $18.82 |
| 07-21 08:44 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-21 08:26 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July? | SELL | 0.952 | $47.60 |