Danielion
0xa7d2ef97eea012dba4784d31a854789b921a3aa5
- Realised P&L
- $-75.41
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.003 | $5.65 | −$55.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.96at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$3.98at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999772 | $6.00 |
| 05-08 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.00 |
| 05-08 06:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 05-08 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999777 | $4.85 |
| 05-08 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 19:44 | Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0270606161 | $61.20 |