tryh
0xa7bb6f006ea76f746d11ed6887298520379e602e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.81
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $13.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $12.11 | +$0.01 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $1.82 | −$1.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on October 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.74 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 15? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 19? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.22at 0.360Titans vs. Browns
- +$0.21at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 29?
- +$0.21at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
- +$0.19at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:10 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999586 | $12.10 |
| 10-09 14:07 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0055846195 | $2.91 |
| 09-27 09:37 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.10 |
| 08-24 07:33 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.9969999603 | $15.00 |
| 06-09 06:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.90 |
| 06-05 09:25 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.80 |
| 06-01 02:13 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.00 |
| 05-29 07:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.00 |
| 05-25 08:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.00 |
| 05-25 08:45 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 05-19 08:16 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 02:35 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 05-13 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.00 |
| 05-09 07:08 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $104.00 |