Bananchik1999
0xa7b5d40a8fd1e558548d80841bb159215387a079
- Realised P&L
- $-37.37
- Volume
- $161.5k
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $643.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.60at 0.838Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$191.69at 0.779Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$114.90at 0.940US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$105.54at 0.933Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
- +$101.70at 0.910Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of June 8 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:24 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.10 |
| 08-04 16:51 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.933 | $11.89 |
| 08-04 16:12 | Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $28.80 |
| 08-04 16:11 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 08-04 16:08 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.939 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 16:01 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.969 | $48.45 |
| 08-04 15:57 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:57 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.95 | $74.84 |
| 08-04 15:56 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.949 | $48.61 |
| 08-04 10:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $159.60 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $18.24 |
| 08-04 09:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-04 09:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $40.32 |
| 08-04 09:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $141.55 |
| 08-04 09:32 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $25.14 |