0xA7B45E15116d0769ab5A19908D0cd876E3eCB7b9-1768654054079
0xa7b45e15116d0769ab5a19908d0cd876e3ecb7b9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $287.2k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $20.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.285 | $18.4k | −$4.5k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.055 | $2.4k | −$1.3k |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$725.55at 0.776Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$635.33at 0.640Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$437.07at 0.913Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$426.40at 0.417Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$241.16at 0.560England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:09 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $710.00 |
| 10-28 12:15 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.0k |
| 10-28 10:04 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 07:22 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.0k |
| 10-28 07:12 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $700.00 |
| 10-28 07:10 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.0k |
| 10-19 02:43 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $424.43 |
| 10-19 02:43 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.0k |
| 10-18 23:52 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $500.00 |
| 10-18 23:51 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.0k |
| 10-01 17:16 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $1.2k |
| 10-01 17:04 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.2k |
| 09-23 02:16 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $689.52 |
| 09-12 00:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $726.14 |
| 09-07 09:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $200.00 |