seiyah16
0xa7af152b6374f7f7bcab2bfabaf5f5af06beefb7
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $197.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.277 | 0.935 | $3.0k | +$2.1k |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.385 | $1.8k | −$2.74 |
| Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.139 | 0.450 | $571.39 | +$395.20 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.225 | 0.870 | $397.59 | +$294.82 |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.168 | 0.312 | $247.23 | +$113.81 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$171.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.278Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.098Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.9kat 0.726Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.3kat 0.620Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.38 | $452.52 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.39 | $859.52 |
| 10-01 02:15 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9979952582 | $6.4k |
| 07-25 09:25 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2629999862 | $13.14 |
| 07-13 20:48 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999999 | $2.9k |
| 07-13 20:41 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.1099999993 | $120.00 |
| 07-13 20:36 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.169 | $16.39 |
| 07-13 20:35 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.1611765841 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 20:34 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.156 | $2.34 |
| 07-13 20:34 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.41 | $261.88 |
| 07-12 16:35 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.155 | $1.55 |
| 07-12 16:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.42 | $268.26 |
| 07-12 16:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $286.68 |
| 07-10 07:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5975 | $1.5k |
| 07-06 20:38 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.89 |