home123
0xa7aaebf9ae172df3bb49a65b1466fce291ad7b67
- Realised P&L
- $276.92
- Volume
- $63.9k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $55.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $22.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $13.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.970 | 0.987 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 7? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $10.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.15at 0.490Canadiens vs. Bruins
- +$10.26at 0.430Knicks vs. Heat
- +$1.70at 0.947Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.07at 0.560Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.81at 0.750Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 08:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.00 |
| 10-06 08:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.00 |
| 09-20 06:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.995999922 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 08:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9909999157 | $5.50 |
| 08-02 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 07-26 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 03:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:03 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9939998834 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 09:14 | Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9929999994 | $8.00 |
| 06-25 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.00 |