0xE32d5e0A27cF8C99CCB197B5e65950464Da0124E-1769694264558
0xa79f76d2d7fca8b84991610b91926f44136241bc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.81
- Volume
- $50.69
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.865 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.085 | $0.32 | −$1.68 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.52at 0.407Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 17?
- +$0.93at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$0.75at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$0.67at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$0.62at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:42 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 13:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.64 |
| 10-15 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |