0xA79BCAbcda66CddCb6c62212f7e050308FBc9409-1781728223355
0xa79bcabcda66cddcb6c62212f7e050308fbc9409
- Realised P&L
- $-174.77
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · No | 0.670 | 0.705 | $1.2k | +$58.52 |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.830 | 0.994 | $102.45 | +$16.90 |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.972 | $95.29 | +$23.76 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.382 | 0.080 | $5.44 | −$20.58 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.64at 0.133Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-47.43at 0.532Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $531.50 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $553.19 |
| 08-04 14:42 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.806528169 | $114.53 |
| 08-04 02:10 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.8077690323 | $150.25 |
| 08-01 19:47 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.7755883706 | $242.76 |
| 07-30 18:36 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 18:33 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.7813041525 | $737.55 |
| 07-30 04:32 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.804491 | $16.09 |
| 07-30 02:50 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.7296516227 | $760.32 |
| 07-30 02:44 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3089229746 | $248.28 |
| 07-30 02:35 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.8209005556 | $221.64 |
| 07-13 06:40 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.37 | $285.64 |
| 07-07 05:00 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.4 | $79.60 |
| 07-04 18:05 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.3824166306 | $397.35 |
| 07-04 18:03 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.83 | $858.28 |