0xa7996E1D176be85489EE41787010c3a2833D100F-1779286235510
0xa7996e1d176be85489ee41787010c3a2833d100f
- Realised P&L
- $-254.96
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $21.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.032 | $16.00 | −$24.00 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.029 | $5.09 | −$4.91 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.030 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.684 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.097Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
- +$-0.94at 0.023Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
- +$-8.31at 0.229Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$-14.81at 0.024Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
- +$-15.03at 0.015Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 22:07 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.2199999807 | $8.00 |
| 07-11 22:06 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:06 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 06:58 | Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 06:47 | Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.004302926 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 06:46 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 06:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.14 |
| 06-29 06:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.31 |
| 06-29 06:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.08 |
| 06-15 09:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | BUY | 0.0211538463 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 09:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | BUY | 0.0229297875 | $15.00 |
| 06-15 09:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0138504155 | $15.00 |
| 05-21 20:33 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 20:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.0629999444 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 19:38 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? | SELL | 0.155 | $1.67 |