farner
0xa792c87f6725e2e532f9f3bf8c29d2908d812066
- Realised P&L
- $-20.7k
- Volume
- $201.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.913 | 0.946 | $2.3k | +$78.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.604Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$903.27at 0.819Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?
- +$891.94at 0.520Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?
- +$740.61at 0.687Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?
- +$673.41at 0.770Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:13 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.112666699 | $92.95 |
| 10-30 15:13 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | SELL | 0.3158974214 | $223.82 |
| 10-30 12:01 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.5645469866 | $400.00 |
| 10-30 11:36 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.8030651932 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 11:30 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.7197337915 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 20:45 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.4k |
| 10-27 16:05 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? | BUY | 0.8325074743 | $2.0k |
| 10-23 16:18 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9428239367 | $400.00 |
| 07-15 16:21 | Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.172 | $86.00 |
| 07-14 14:29 | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.0970602588 | $97.06 |
| 07-14 10:57 | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.0078201382 | $15.64 |
| 07-13 22:33 | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.9304120064 | $2.0k |
| 07-13 22:33 | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.7445600912 | $372.27 |
| 07-13 22:33 | Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.3861171512 | $80.62 |
| 07-13 17:02 | Over $8M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $37.69 |