PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AMRSK

0xa791d4a076c1f818920e13a548f9a52dc623e0cd

Realised P&L
$-52.38
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$23.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6300.981$15.57+$5.57
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0700.040$5.64−$4.36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.055$1.90−$8.10
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-09 19:01Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?BUY0.3499999918$15.00
05-09 19:00Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
05-09 18:59Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1259999896$10.00
05-09 18:58Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
05-09 18:56Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
05-09 18:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999349$10.00
05-09 18:55Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.6122395971$23.10
05-09 18:54Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?SELL0.991$17.38
05-09 18:54Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.151$9.40
04-23 20:27Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
04-23 20:23Will Slavia Prague win Czechia Fortuna Liga?BUY0.9299999953$9.96
04-23 20:23Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.629999988$10.00
04-23 20:22ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8235294069$10.00
04-23 20:21Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
04-23 20:21Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9589999623$10.00