0xa78ed840a0a600fe45f6a7a1e1ac8c2f83409ee1
0xa78ed840a0a600fe45f6a7a1e1ac8c2f83409ee1
- Realised P&L
- $-9.25
- Volume
- $577.50
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $49.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.983 | $36.32 | +$14.62 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.992 | $12.73 | +$1.69 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.028 | $0.18 | −$5.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.50at 0.553England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$10.52at 0.351Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$4.63at 0.711France vs. England: O/U 5.5
- +$-1.08at 0.527Trump out as President before GTA VI?
- +$-1.76at 0.532Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:42 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8199999939 | $5.38 |
| 08-23 14:44 | Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8799998625 | $5.63 |
| 07-19 21:39 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.6299998863 | $5.43 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.02 | $0.62 |
| 07-19 18:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.329999963 | $5.35 |
| 07-18 22:01 | France vs. England: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6799999875 | $10.91 |
| 07-18 21:58 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.35 |
| 07-18 19:03 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.2299999481 | $3.19 |
| 07-16 19:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999923 | $16.23 |
| 07-15 21:27 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.8599999314 | $11.04 |
| 07-15 15:48 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5299999886 | $9.74 |
| 07-15 14:02 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.5870863554 | $21.70 |
| 07-15 13:54 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.503 | $21.55 |
| 07-15 13:54 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.49 | $10.57 |
| 07-15 13:44 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5039999985 | $21.60 |