0xA779Ef21e3152B0CFA0c3b4C9eCd46aB3f391064-1779784042738
0xa779ef21e3152b0cfa0c3b4c9ecd46ab3f391064
- Realised P&L
- $15.37
- Volume
- $510.57
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $15.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · PARIVISION | 0.730 | 0.745 | $10.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $4.40 | −$0.10 |
| Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.080 | $0.84 | −$1.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$4.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.41at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$8.31at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$6.69at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$2.25at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$1.75at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:33 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 16:23 | Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:23 | Will Union Touarga Sports win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:19 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 16:15 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 16:11 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.2199999885 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 16:09 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.2199999885 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $5.27 |
| 10-08 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $11.88 |
| 10-08 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6945050701 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $3.51 |
| 10-08 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $34.37 |