0xa776f3bc3f7b70bf9c19701517d23ea064a2b949
0xa776f3bc3f7b70bf9c19701517d23ea064a2b949
- Realised P&L
- $-96.15
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 450
- Open portfolio
- $6.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded450
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.495 | $2.48 | +$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.345 | $1.73 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.315 | $1.57 | −$0.47 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.275 | $0.82 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.76at 0.072Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?
- +$8.75at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 3?
- +$4.20at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?
- +$3.89at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?
- +$3.86at 0.218Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 02:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.23 |
| 10-10 02:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.80 |
| 10-10 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.10 |
| 10-09 23:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.05 |
| 10-09 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-09 21:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |
| 10-09 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-09 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 10-08 21:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-08 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.43 |
| 10-07 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.09 |
| 10-07 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 10-07 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |