newfeeling02
0xa7746a12c0d5b835a8491dd92f799494cf4e005f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $491.9k
- Markets traded
- 937
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded937
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.831 | 0.876 | $1.8k | +$92.28 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.821 | 0.925 | $1.6k | +$177.50 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.847 | 0.845 | $586.87 | −$1.58 |
| Oregon vs. USC · Oregon | 0.630 | 0.625 | $418.75 | −$3.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.955 | $2.84 | +$1.15 |
| TCU vs. UCF · TCU | 0.620 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$185.85 |
| Georgia vs. Auburn · Auburn | 0.594 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.60 |
| Celtics vs. Heat · Heat | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$395.60 |
| Penguins vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.00 |
| Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-04-06? · No | 0.677 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$154.10 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.25 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 152.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$259.70 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.50 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.80 |
| Suns vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$829.00at 0.699Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$806.53at 0.537Drake Bulldogs vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 147.5
- +$718.00at 0.679Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$661.55at 0.661US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
- +$527.25at 0.730Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:45 | Oregon vs. USC | BUY | 0.63 | $74.20 |
| 09-26 18:22 | TCU vs. UCF | BUY | 0.62 | $186.00 |
| 09-26 15:37 | Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $58.30 |
| 09-20 21:01 | Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $75.00 |
| 09-20 19:15 | Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $79.80 |
| 09-20 15:03 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.59 | $123.90 |
| 09-20 00:45 | East Carolina vs. Old Dominion | BUY | 0.49 | $107.80 |
| 09-13 14:51 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.57 | $68.40 |
| 09-11 23:07 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $45.90 |
| 09-11 23:07 | Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.64 | $76.80 |
| 08-21 21:54 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $33.12 |
| 08-21 21:54 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 08-20 00:16 | New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.64 | $83.20 |
| 08-19 22:50 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.63 | $80.01 |
| 08-19 15:55 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.21 | $171.98 |